The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wieczysta Kraków 46%
Draw 25.3%
Polonia Bytom 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
22.2%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
21.3%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wieczysta Kraków's form might have worsened.
Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wieczysta Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Bytom Predictions
Users Predictions:
Wieczysta Kraków will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mikulko A. (G) 4. Fila K. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 15. Djermanovic A. 33. Pestka K. 11. Knezevic N. 12. Piazon L. 20. Maigaard M. 23. Miki Villar 9. Paulinho 19. Trabka M.
1. Banasik W. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 77. Szymanski J. 5. Matic M. 27. Apolinarski J. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. 17. Wolkowicz K. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 9. Wojtyra K. 11. Andrzejczak K.
Substitutes
27. Carlitos 17. Dankowski K. 80. Dziegielewski N. 18. Feiertag S. 7. Gajos M. 5. Olsson E. 6. Pietrzak R. 77. Semedo L. 28. Soberka K. (G)
4. Bakala M. 22. Calavera J. 30. Krzyzak O. 20. Labedzki J. 21. Lukowski J. 10. Michalski K. 76. Rajczykowski J. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Stefanski P.
Coaches
Moskal K.
Mroz W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
21', Gajda T. 🟨,
22', Paulinho 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Andrzejczak K. ⚽, Kwiatkowski O. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Wojtyra K. ⚽, Labojko M. (A),
45+1', Pazdan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Trabka M. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
46', Knezevic N. ↓, Gajos M. ↑,
46', Paulinho ↓, Feiertag S. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Dziegielewski N. ⚽,
59', Wolkowicz K. 🟨,
62', 2 - 2, Djermanovic A. ⚽,
62', Fila K. 🟨,
65', 3 - 2, Dziegielewski N. ⚽,
72', Wojtyra K. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
72', Gajda T. ↓, Bakala M. ↑,
72', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
76', Djermanovic A. 🟨,
76', Wolkowicz K. ↓, Stefanski P. ↑,
77', Maigaard M. 🟨,
79', Miki Villar ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
84', Szymusik G. 🟨,
85', 4 - 2, Maigaard M. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Labedzki J. ↑,
86', 4 - 3, Matic M. ⚽, Stefanski P. (A),
90', Fila K. ↓, Dankowski K. ↑,
Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
Wieczysta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Polonia Bytom is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Polonia Bytom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Wieczysta is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wieczysta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.8:1.8).
Including home match between the teams, Wieczysta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Watch
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Mikulko A. (G) 
Djermanovic A. 
Piazon L. 
Maigaard M. 
Miki Villar 
Paulinho 
Matic M. 
Feiertag S. 
Olsson E. 
Semedo L. 
Bakala M. 
Sarmiento J. 
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