Match Info

Date: 10 May 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Wigan Athletic U23		Birmingham City U23

	1	X	2
	4.5	5	1.45
	3.75	4	1.7
	5.4	4.4	1.4
	5.24	5.19	1.44
	5	4.4	1.47
	5.3	4.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (2.84)	4.58 ↑ (3.97)	1.49 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic U23
18.8%

Draw
19.9%

Birmingham City U23
61.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

23%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

17.2%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigan Athletic U23's form might have worsened.

Birmingham City U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic U23 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City U23 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Wigan Athletic U23 - Birmingham City U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Wigan U23 will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Birmingham U23 will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham U23: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Wigan U23 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Birmingham U23 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Birmingham U23 is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wigan U23 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic U23
English Professional Development League
06.05.21	Wigan Athletic U23 - Sheffield Wednesday U23	1:4 ✺
03.05.21	Wigan Athletic U23 - Bristol City U23	0:4 ✺
27.04.21	Swansea City U23 - Wigan Athletic U23	2:0 ✺
21.04.21	Crewe Alexandra U23 - Wigan Athletic U23	0:1 ✺
19.04.21	Wigan Athletic U23 - Ipswich Town U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWT
- Birmingham City U23
English Professional Development League
06.05.21	Crewe Alexandra U23 - Birmingham City U23	0:3 ✺
03.05.21	Birmingham City U23 - Charlton Athletic U23	5:2 ✺
27.04.21	Bristol City U23 - Birmingham City U23	2:1 ✺
16.04.21	Birmingham City U23 - Queens Park Rangers U23	3:1 ✺
13.04.21	Millwall U23 - Birmingham City U23	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
03.12.20	Birmingham City U23 - Wigan Athletic U23	1:3
10.01.20	Birmingham City U23 - Wigan Athletic U23	0:2
30.09.19	Wigan Athletic U23 - Birmingham City U23	0:4

Wigan Athletic U23 - Birmingham City U23