Match Info

Date: 31 March 2021, Wednesday


	Wigry Suwałki		Polkowice

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.55
	2.4	3.6	2.4
	2.42	3.6	2.3
	2.6	3.2	2.4
	2.63	3.76	2.41
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.63	3.26	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.26)	3.45 ↑ (3.03)	2.43 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
36%

Draw
26.5%

Polkowice
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

30.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

21.3%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Polkowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polkowice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wigry Suwałki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Wigry Suwałki - Polkowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Division 2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Division 1).

Wigry is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Polkowice is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wigry won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigry won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 2
27.03.21	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Wigry Suwałki	3:0 ✺
21.03.21	Wigry Suwałki - Garbarnia Kraków	2:0 ✺
17.03.21	Skra Częstochowa - Wigry Suwałki	3:2 ✺
12.03.21	Wigry Suwałki - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT
- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 2
27.03.21	Polkowice - Lech Poznań 2	4:0 ✺
21.03.21	GKS Katowice - Polkowice	2:1 ✺
17.03.21	Hutnik - Polkowice	0:3 ✺
13.03.21	Sokół Ostróda - Polkowice	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Polkowice - Stal Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL

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