Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Am Petz (Wiltz) 🌤️ ...


	Wiltz 71		UNA Strassen

	1	X	2
	11.50	5.75	1.19
	10.5	5.7	1.17
	6.79	6.16	1.27
	8.5	6.1	1.24	Watch
	6.65	6	1.24
	12.3	5.8	1.17
	11	6	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.61 ↑ (5.7)	5.93 ↑ (4.57)	1.21 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiltz 71
9.5%

Draw
15.3%

UNA Strassen
75.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.1%

20.1%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

19.9%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiltz 71 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wiltz 71's form might have worsened.

UNA Strassen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UNA Strassen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiltz 71 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wiltz 71, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNA Strassen than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UNA Strassen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wiltz 71 - UNA Strassen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Toure L. ⚽, Eysseric V. (A),
55', 0 - 2, Eysseric V. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wiltz 71 won 2.

Wiltz 71 has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

UNA Strassen is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

In this match, UNA Strassen enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Wiltz 71 has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:17 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wiltz 71 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	11	10	1	0	22:3	19	31
15	Wiltz	11	1	2	8	18:31	-13	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wiltz 71
Luxembourg National Division
16.09.26	Atert Bissen - Wiltz 71	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Jeunesse Esch - Wiltz 71	5:1 ✺
30.08.26	Wiltz 71 - F91 Dudelange	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Wiltz 71 - Differdange 03	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UNA Strassen
Luxembourg National Division
16.09.26	UNA Strassen - Rumelange	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - UNA Strassen	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Résidence Walferdange - UNA Strassen	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	UNA Strassen - Atert Bissen	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Progrès Niedercorn - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
16.02.25	UNA Strassen - Wiltz 71	3:0
07.04.24	UNA Strassen - Wiltz 71	1:1
08.10.23	Wiltz 71 - UNA Strassen	2:1
29.03.23	Wiltz 71 - UNA Strassen	2:1
09.10.22	UNA Strassen - Wiltz 71	4:3
16.04.22	Wiltz 71 - UNA Strassen	1:1
07.11.21	UNA Strassen - Wiltz 71	3:2

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