Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday


	Wimborne Town		Marlow

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.4
	1.55	4.2	4.6
	1.59	4.41	4.73
	1.56	4.05	4.75
	1.55	4.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	4.19 (4.19)	4.62 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
58.5%

Draw
21.8%

Marlow
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

21.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

17.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Marlow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wimborne Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marlow than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Wimborne Town - Marlow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Nawaf N. O. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Carmichael J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
80', 2 - 1, Burrows M. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Jackson S. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Wimborne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marlow has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marlow could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wimborne is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wimborne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 2.5:4).

Including matches at home between the teams Wimborne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
28.12.24	Wimborne Town - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Sholing - Wimborne Town	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Wimborne Town - Winchester City	2:4 ✺
14.12.24	Basingstoke Town - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Wimborne Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLLT
- Marlow
English Southern League South Division
04.01.25	Winchester City - Marlow	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Marlow - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Marlow - Sholing	2:3 ✺
26.12.24	Basingstoke Town - Marlow	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Marlow - Walton & Hersham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
16.11.24	Marlow - Wimborne Town	3:2
English FA Trophy
05.10.13	Wimborne Town - Marlow	3:5

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