Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 33

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Wimborne Town		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.15	3.05
	2.17	3.29	3.01
	2.19	3.47	3.08	Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.07	3.22	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.92)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
42.6%

Draw
28.1%

Dorchester Town
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wimborne Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Wimborne Town - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Daws M. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Walker B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 1 - 2, Moore C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimborne won 2.

Wimborne has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dorchester is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wimborne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wimborne has had a series of away games.

Wimborne could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Wimborne won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimborne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Wimborne: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wimborne	8	3	3	2	10:4	6	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
25.02.26	Taunton Town - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gloucester City - Wimborne Town	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Wimborne Town - Hanwell Town	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Evesham United - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Wimborne Town - Hungerford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
24.02.26	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Dorchester Town - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	0:2
22.02.25	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	1:1
30.11.24	Wimborne Town - Dorchester Town	1:1
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	2:3
English Southern League South Division
02.04.22	Wimborne Town - Dorchester Town	0:1
16.11.21	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	3:0
29.09.20	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	0:0

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