Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Winchester City		Marlow

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.44	4.6	5.2
	1.52	4.68	4.96
	1.44	4.5	4.75
	1.42	4.55	5.73
	1.44	4.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.38)	4.57 ↓ (4.81)	5.14 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
62.5%

Draw
19.8%

Marlow
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

17.8%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Marlow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Winchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marlow than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Winchester City - Marlow Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Winchester will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Marlow will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Britton G. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Hill I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 3 - 0, Chalwell L. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 1, Hoath H. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Winchester is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marlow is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Winchester is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
01.01.25	Dorchester Town - Winchester City	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Gosport Borough - Winchester City	1:3 ✺
26.12.24	Winchester City - Totton	1:4 ✺
21.12.24	Wimborne Town - Winchester City	2:4 ✺
17.12.24	Winchester City - Basingstoke Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWL
- Marlow
English Southern League South Division
01.01.25	Marlow - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Marlow - Sholing	2:3 ✺
26.12.24	Basingstoke Town - Marlow	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Marlow - Walton & Hersham	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Hungerford Town - Marlow	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
10.08.24	Marlow - Winchester City	1:1
Club Friendly
01.09.20	Marlow - Winchester City	1:2

Winchester City - Marlow: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide