Match Info

Challenge League - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Schützenwiese (Winterthur)

Referee: Muller J. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Winterthur		Lausanne Ouchy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.50	2.35
	2.35	3.45	2.45
	2.66	3.60	2.55
	2.78	3.76	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.60	2.35
	2.51	3.34	2.42	Watch
	2.50	3.45	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.7)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	2.4 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winterthur
35.7%

Draw
26%

Lausanne Ouchy
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

25.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

24.2%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lausanne Ouchy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Winterthur - Lausanne Ouchy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kuster M. (G) 21. Ottiger S. 16. Arnold R. (C) 4. Camara S. 18. Diaby S. 44. Cueni S. 7. Zuffi L. 68. Beyer B. 20. Marchesano A. 11. Kehrer E. 9. Buess R.	50. Seji L. (G) 5. Hajrulahu L. 34. Sutter N. (C) 22. Barbet T. 19. Sow C. 80. Tur J. A. 3. Conus B. 7. Bouchlarhem T. 77. Tritten V. 10. Freitas R. 11. Sartoretti M.
Substitutes
33. Citherlet T. 8. Golliard T. 47. Hirt N. (G) 45. Jankewitz A. 17. Maksutaj L. 37. Maluvunu E. 27. Rohner F. 26. Sahitaj L. 22. Turkes A.	17. Atangana J. 13. Bah K. 2. Carrasco J. 28. Kaloga I. 44. Lukembila H. 8. Lusuena N. 21. Martin K. (G) 47. Morello F. 25. Nkama J.
Coaches
Rahmen P.	Stevanovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Sartoretti M. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Sow C. ↓, Kaloga I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zuffi L. ↓, Jankewitz A. ↑,
57', Tritten V. ↓, Bah K. ↑,
57', Sutter N. ↓, Lukembila H. ↑,
58', Marchesano A. 🟨,
67', Kehrer E. ↓, Rohner F. ↑,
67', Buess R. ↓, Golliard T. ↑,
74', Conus B. ↓, Lusuena N. ↑,
74', Sartoretti M. ↓, Atangana J. ↑,
78', Ottiger S. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
78', Beyer B. ↓, Turkes A. ↑,
79', Diaby S. 🟨,
84', Cueni S. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Rohner F. ⚽, Golliard T. (A),
90+5', Golliard T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 4.

Winterthur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lausanne Ouchy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lausanne Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17:3	14	21
2	Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19:8	11	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Winterthur
Swiss Challenge League
21.08.26	Rapperswil-Jona - Winterthur	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Winterthur - Wil 1900	5:0 ✺
31.07.26	Kriens - Winterthur	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Winterthur - Yverdon	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Winterthur - Union Berlin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLTT
- Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League
21.08.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Lausanne Ouchy	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Rapperswil-Jona	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Aarau - Lausanne Ouchy	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Stade Nyonnais	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Servette - Lausanne Ouchy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Cup
02.12.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Winterthur	1:0
Swiss Super League
14.04.24	Lausanne Ouchy - Winterthur	0:1
27.01.24	Lausanne Ouchy - Winterthur	1:3
23.09.23	Winterthur - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1
Swiss Challenge League
02.04.22	Winterthur - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1
04.03.22	Lausanne Ouchy - Winterthur	3:1
05.11.21	Winterthur - Lausanne Ouchy	0:0

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