Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Wisła Płock II		Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	5
	1.46	4.5	5.2
	1.44	4.4	5.37
	1.45	4.52	5.6	Watch
	1.44	4.45	5.57	Watch
	1.46	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.8)	4.45 ↑ (3.8)	5.32 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock II
62.5%

Draw
20.4%

Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

22.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła Płock II's performance.

Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Płock II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wisła Płock II - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Gmosinski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Janus K. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Mnatsakanyan V. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Janus K. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.09.24	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	4:2 ✺
14.09.24	Wikielec - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Wisła Płock II - Broń Radom	5:1 ✺
31.08.24	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWT
- Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.09.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Legia II	1:4 ✺
24.08.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - GKS Bełchatów	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

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