Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Hong Kong Football Club Stadium (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Hong Kong FC		Southern District

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.32
	7.45	5.06	1.34
	7.16	5.11	1.33	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.33
	7.8	4.8	1.31	Watch
	6.5	4.25	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.24 ↑ (6.5)	4.75 ↑ (4.25)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hong Kong FC
12.5%

Draw
19.1%

Southern District
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

20.5%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hong Kong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Southern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Hong Kong FC - Southern District Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Shlyakotin O. (G) 6. Cheng Chun-Wang R. (C) 4. Down T. P. 5. Doyle F. P. 22. Ho Chun J. 14. Ho T. 18. Inoue T. 7. Khan N. 2. Lee C. 26. Ma C. 67. McGunnigle C.	31. Ngan N. S. (G) 10. Acosta J. L. 16. Chak Ting-Fung 28. Chen Ngo-Hin 5. Danilo Santos 8. Lee Ka-Yiu 79. Lucas Emmanuel 80. Murilo 11. Sasaki S. (C) 14. Song J. 7. Stefan
Substitutes
44. Bennie J. 3. Bloxham C. 77. Chan M. 20. Chan P. 40. Kedwards N. 28. Lai H. 39. Lau B. (G) 12. Law C. 16. Montesinos L. 23. Salzmann L. 25. Wong Tsz-Chung (G)	26. Chan H. P. 13. Chan K. (G) 27. Chong T. A. 32. Hui P. A. (G) 19. Ichikawa S. 12. Lai K. 18. Mahama A. 22. Marcus Vinicius 20. Yau C. 23. Yung H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', Lee Ka-Yiu 🟨,
28', Chak Ting-Fung 🟨,
33', Ho T. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Stefan ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Lucas Emmanuel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Chen Ngo-Hin ↓, Yau C. ↑,
46', Chak Ting-Fung ↓, Lai K. ↑,
46', Down T. P. ↓, Bennie J. ↑,
46', Ho Chun J. ↓, Montesinos L. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, McGunnigle C. ⚽,
69', Lee C. ↓, Kedwards N. ↑,
69', Ho T. ↓, Law C. ↑,
71', Lucas Emmanuel ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Stefan ⚽,
79', Khan N. ↓, Chan P. ↑,
80', 1 - 4, Stefan ⚽,
84', Stefan ↓, Yung H. ↑,
85', Yung H. 🟨,
87', Acosta J. L. ↓, Chong T. A. ↑,
89', Bennie J. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HKFC won 2.

Southern District is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

HKFC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Southern District is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, HKFC won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, HKFC won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Southern District	3	2	0	1	6:6	0	6
11	Hong Kong FC	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong FC
Hong Kong Premier League
25.04.26	Eastern District - Hong Kong FC	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Eastern AA - Hong Kong FC	5:0 ✺
15.03.26	Hong Kong FC - Lee Man	0:4 ✺
Hong Kong FA Cup
08.03.26	Hong Kong FC - North District	1:3 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
01.03.26	Kitchee - Hong Kong FC	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WLLLL
- Southern District
Hong Kong Premier League
26.04.26	Southern District - Kowloon City	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Southern District	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kowloon City - Southern District	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Southern District - North District	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Southern District	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
22.02.26	Southern District - Hong Kong FC	2:1
19.10.25	Hong Kong FC - Southern District	0:1
10.05.25	Southern District - Hong Kong FC	3:1
Hong Kong FA Cup
02.03.25	Hong Kong FC - Southern District	2:0
Hong Kong Premier League
22.12.24	Hong Kong FC - Southern District	1:0
10.11.24	Hong Kong FC - Southern District	3:4
06.04.24	Southern District - Hong Kong FC	2:1

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