The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wofoo Tai Po 26.8%
Draw 25.4%
Kitchee 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.8%
24.5%
53.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
25.3%
55.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wofoo Tai Po has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Kitchee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kitchee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wofoo Tai Po that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitchee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wofoo Tai Po - Kitchee Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lo S. (G) 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 80. Chung Wai-Keung 10. Fernando 33. Gabriel Cividini (C) 26. Lee Ka-Ho 20. Patrick Valverde 18. Sartori I. 13. Sim S. 27. Temelkovski J. 44. Weverton Rangel
17. Pong C. (G) 37. Chan Shing-Chun 6. Haddow J. 30. Juninho 34. Kam Chi-Kin. J. 11. Kanda Y. 41. Lam P. 4. Matheus Dantas 15. Merquelanz M. 9. Revilla A. 16. Tan Chun-Lok (C)
Substitutes
22. Korani K. 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 23. Lee Lok-Him 9. Paulinho Simionato 94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 28. Tsui L. 34. Wong Hin-Sum 2. Yeung H.
22. Beattie C. 21. Buddle S. 8. Cheng Chin-Lung 2. Law Tsz-Chun 40. Li Siu-Hin 20. Martinez Ortiz L. 13. Mehmud Enikar (G) 52. Poon W. K. 31. Slattery M. 1. Wang Z. (G) 12. Wong Ho-Chun Anson
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Patrick Valverde ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Patrick Valverde ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Temelkovski J. ↓, Paulinho Simionato ↑,
60', Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↓, Wong Hin-Sum ↑,
63', Chan Shing-Chun ↓, Cheng Chin-Lung ↑,
63', Merquelanz M. ↓, Wong Ho-Chun Anson ↑,
63', Kanda Y. ↓, Li Siu-Hin ↑,
63', Juninho ↓, Martinez Ortiz L. ↑,
63', Lam P. ↓, Beattie C. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Fernando ⚽,
70', Sartori I. ↓, Korani K. ↑,
70', Lee Ka-Ho ↓, Kwok Chun-Nok ↑,
76', Martinez Ortiz L. 🟨,
76', Patrick Valverde ↓, Lee Lok-Him ↑,
85', Weverton Rangel 🟨,
Preview
Kitchee is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League 2
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Kitchee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kitchee has had a series of home games.
Kitchee will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tai Po won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
Hong-kong
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Lo S. (G) 
Gabriel Cividini (C) 
Sim S. 
Temelkovski J. 
Kanda Y. 
Merquelanz M. 
Mehmud Enikar (G) 
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