Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Tai Po Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Wofoo Tai Po		Southern District

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	3.75
	1.9	3.84	3.51
	1.7	4.33	3.67	Watch
	1.75	3.7	3.6
	1.82	4.06	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)	3.94 ↓ (4.27)	3.63 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wofoo Tai Po
51.5%

Draw
23.3%

Southern District
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

21.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

20.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wofoo Tai Po has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Southern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Southern District aligns with the current prediction.

Wofoo Tai Po - Southern District Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lo S. (G) 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 33. Gabriel Cividini (C) 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 6. Law Chun-Ting 23. Lee Lok-Him 14. Marcao 25. Mikael 9. Paulinho Simionato 13. Sim S. 44. Weverton Rangel	1. Ng W. H. (G) 10. Acosta J. L. 2. Chan Y. T. 19. Ichikawa S. 4. Kawase K. 12. Lai K. 17. Leung J. 11. Sasaki S. (C) 14. Song J. 7. Stefan 23. Yung H.
Substitutes
80. Chung Wai-Keung 10. Fernando 93. Ho M. F. (G) 22. Korani K. 26. Lee Ka-Ho 3. Sung K. 28. Tsui L. 21. Wong H. (G) 2. Yeung H.	16. Chak Ting-Fung 26. Chan H. P. 28. Chen Ngo-Hin 27. Chong T. A. 32. Hui P. A. (G) 8. Lee Ka-Yiu 79. Lucas Emmanuel 18. Mahama A. 22. Marcus Vinicius 31. Ngan N. S. (G) 20. Yau C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Paulinho Simionato ⚽,
33', Sasaki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leung J. ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
46', Lai K. ↓, Chan H. P. ↑,
54', Chan Y. T. 🟨,
56', Mikael 🟨,
61', Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↓, Chung Wai-Keung ↑,
62', Law Chun-Ting 🟨,
68', Kawase K. 🟨,
68', Weverton Rangel 🟨,
72', Weverton Rangel 🟥,
74', Yung H. ↓, Lucas Emmanuel ↑,
81', Law Chun-Ting ↓, Lee Ka-Ho ↑,
86', Paulinho Simionato 🟨,
87', Sim S. 🟨,
88', Kawase K. 🟨,
90', Kwok Chun-Nok ↓, Sung K. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tai Po may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tai Po is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tai Po won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tai Po	4	2	0	2	8:7	1	6
5	Southern District	3	2	0	1	6:6	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wofoo Tai Po
Hong Kong League Cup
11.03.26	Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po	1:0 ✺
Hong Kong FA Cup
07.03.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Kitchee	2:1 penalties ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
28.02.26	Southern District - Wofoo Tai Po	2:1 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
18.02.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong Rangers	4:1 ET ✺
07.02.26	North District - Wofoo Tai Po	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWW
- Southern District
Hong Kong Premier League
28.02.26	Southern District - Wofoo Tai Po	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Southern District - Hong Kong FC	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Southern District	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Kitchee - Southern District	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Eastern AA - Southern District	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
28.02.26	Southern District - Wofoo Tai Po	2:1
Hong Kong Senior Shield
10.09.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Southern District	3:1
Hong Kong Premier League
05.05.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Southern District	2:2
22.02.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Southern District	3:2
21.09.24	Southern District - Wofoo Tai Po	1:1
04.05.24	Southern District - Wofoo Tai Po	0:0
21.10.23	Wofoo Tai Po - Southern District	1:0

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