The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wofoo Tai Po 46.8%
Draw 24.1%
Southern District 29.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.6%
22.8%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
23.6%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wofoo Tai Po has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wofoo Tai Po's form might have worsened.
Southern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southern District's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wofoo Tai Po, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southern District, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Wofoo Tai Po - Southern District Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tai Po will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 10. Fernando 33. Gabriel Cividini 26. Lee Ka-Ho 4. Leo Rigo 23. Lijing Cai 97. Marquinhos 79. Wallisson Bahia 44. Weverton Rangel 20. Wong Hin-Sum
1. Ng W. H. (G) 16. Chak Ting-Fung 99. Cheng Tsz-Sum 5. Danilo Santos 22. Golubovic S. 2. Hall C. 12. Lai K. 63. Landa B. 9. Poon Pui-Hin 11. Sasaki S. 10. Wong Ho-Chun Anson
Substitutes
7. Chang H. M. 6. Chan H. P. 19. Kwok Y. 9. Paulinho 28. Wong Sum-Chit Sherman 99. Wu H. (G)
24. Cheung P. 19. Chong T. A. 77. Hon Shing-Wing 32. Hui P. A. (G) 27. Kayron 14. Lee C. 8. Lee Ka-Yiu 33. Lucas Agueiro 31. Ngan N. S. (G) 7. Stefan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
27', Leo Rigo ↓, Chan H. P. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Lijing Cai ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Marquinhos ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Wong Ho-Chun Anson ↓, Lucas Agueiro ↑,
46', Landa B. ↓, Kayron ↑,
46', Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
48', Gabriel Cividini 🟨,
50', (Penalty Awarded),
63', Poon Pui-Hin ↓, Stefan ↑,
63', Lijing Cai ↓, Chang H. M. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Kayron ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Golubovic S. ⚽,
84', 3 - 2, Chang H. M. ⚽,
85', 4 - 2, Paulinho ⚽,
87', Cheng Tsz-Sum ↓, Lee C. ↑,
90+3', Fernando 🟨,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Tai Po (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Southern District have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Southern District could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Southern District has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Tai Po is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tai Po has recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:23 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tai Po against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 17:10 goals (averaging 1.9:1.1 per game).
Hong Kong
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Tse Ka-Wing (G) 
Gabriel Cividini 
Lijing Cai 
Golubovic S. 
Hall C. 
Landa B. 
Sasaki S. 
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