Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lavanttal-Arena (Wolfsberg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Simsek I. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	14:30	Sky Go Austria
Germany	14:30	Sky Go Germany, WOW
International	12:30	OneFootball TV


	Wolfsberger		Swarovski Tirol

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.60	2.25	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.35
	2.70	3.55	2.38
	3.03	3.55	2.42
	2.93	3.5	2.35	Watch
	3.00	3.50	2.35
	2.89	3.34	2.36	Watch
	2.75	3.50	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.38)	3.49 ↓ (3.72)	2.36 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsberger
32.9%

Draw
27%

Swarovski Tirol
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

25.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

25.4%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolfsberger's form might have worsened.

Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swarovski Tirol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsberger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swarovski Tirol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gliklich L. (G) 31. Wohlmuth F. 15. Diabate C. 25. Drame A. 11. Schwarz A. 30. Sulzner M. 17. Schabauer M. 36. Fitz D. 34. Agyemang E. 9. Vrioni G. (C) 23. Verhounig P.	1. Hamzic S. (G) 23. Boras M. (C) 14. Kubatta D. 3. Gugganig D. 28. Oswald M. 30. Taferner M. 6. Striednig M. 36. Goiginger T. 37. Wels M. 17. Olakigbe M. 8. Baden Frederiksen N.
Substitutes
10. Avdijaj D. 6. Behounek R. 70. Djuric D. 1. Gutlbauer L. (G) 7. Hassler L. 49. Karamoko S. 35. Kitz M. 32. Pink M. 20. Schriebl T.	18. Balic H. 43. Celic N. 13. Eckmayr A. (G) 32. Gschosser R. 16. Hinterseer L. 27. Jaunegg D. 5. Murray D. 10. Sabitzer T. 11. Satin M.
Coaches
Silberberger T.	Semlic P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Fitz D. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Wels M. ⚽, Taferner M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Sabitzer T. ↑,
46', Schwarz A. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
46', Verhounig P. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
46', Schabauer M. ↓, Hassler L. ↑,
48', Sulzner M. 🟨,
58', Gugganig D. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Kubatta D. ⚽, Olakigbe M. (A),
69', Goiginger T. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
69', Olakigbe M. ↓, Gschosser R. ↑,
69', Sulzner M. ↓, Behounek R. ↑,
74', Vrioni G. ↓, Pink M. ↑,
75', Eckmayr A. 🟨,
76', Striednig M. 🟨,
84', Wels M. ↓, Hinterseer L. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 12th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsberger won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Swarovski Tirol could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Wolfsberger: Piesinger S. (Red Card) Wimmer N. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wolfsberger has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:40 (averaging 1.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wolfsberger against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 20:14 goals (averaging 2:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tirol	10	3	3	4	13:15	-2	12
12	Wolfsberger AC	10	1	2	7	7:19	-12	5

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Tirol: 0.5% Wolfsberger AC: 0.35%

Last Results with these Odds

Wolfsberger - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.71%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Swarovski Tirol - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolfsberger AC
Austrian Bundesliga
11.10.26	Rheindorf Altach - Wolfsberger	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Wolfsberger - ASK Voitsberg	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.26	Ried - Wolfsberger	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Wolfsberger - Rapid Wien	0:3 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
06.09.26	Parndorf - Wolfsberger	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW
- WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga
10.10.26	Swarovski Tirol - Ried	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Jahn Regensburg - Swarovski Tirol	0:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
18.09.26	Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Swarovski Tirol - Hartberg	2:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
05.09.26	Leithaprodersdorf - Swarovski Tirol	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
16.05.26	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	2:0
04.04.26	Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger	3:1
02.11.25	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	0:0
31.08.25	Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger	1:1
22.02.25	Swarovski Tirol - Wolfsberger	3:3
29.09.24	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	1:3
18.05.24	Wolfsberger - Swarovski Tirol	3:1

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