Match Info

FA Trophy - Qualification - Final

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Worcester City		Rugby Town

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.5	5.75
	1.39	4.85	6.1
	1.37	4.63	6.23
	1.04	12.20	25.00	Watch
	1.36	4.55	6.95
	1.39	4.85	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.53)	5.93 ↑ (4.3)	9.36 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester City
73.3%

Draw
16.4%

Rugby Town
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worcester City's performance.

Rugby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rugby Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Worcester City - Rugby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 0)

Preview

Worcester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Worcester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Worcester is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Worcester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Worcester won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Worcester City - Alvechurch	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Worcester City - Real Bedford	1:3 ✺
10.09.25	Stourbridge - Worcester City	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Worcester City - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.25	Chasetown - Worcester City	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTTL
- Rugby Town
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Rugby Town - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.23	Rugby Town - Barwell	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Basford United - Rugby Town	2:0 ✺
22.09.18	Rugby Town - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
17.09.16	Brackley Town - Rugby Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
27.09.14	Worcester City - Rugby Town	3:1
15.10.13	Rugby Town - Worcester City	0:2
12.10.13	Worcester City - Rugby Town	0:0

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