Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Worcester City		Real Bedford

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.65	3
	2.02	3.79	3.06
	2.04	3.56	3.05
	2.33	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.33)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	2.99 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester City
43.7%

Draw
25.7%

Real Bedford
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Real Bedford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Worcester City - Real Bedford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Belmonte K. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Allenn J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 2, Watkins L. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, Jones A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Real Bedford has had a series of home games.

Worcester could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.25	Stourbridge - Worcester City	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Worcester City - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.25	Chasetown - Worcester City	3:2 ET ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.08.25	Halesowen Town - Worcester City	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Worcester City - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTLWT
- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
09.09.25	Real Bedford - Bury Town	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Real Bedford - Redditch United	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Real Bedford - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.08.25	St Ives Town - Real Bedford	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Real Bedford - Kettering Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTTL

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