Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Worksop Town		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.36	4.75	6.5
	1.37	5.09	6.7
	1.38	5.09	6.7
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.33	4.7	7.2
	1.36	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)	4.73 ↑ (4.13)	6.59 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
66.8%

Draw
19.3%

Bradford Park Avenue
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

21.9%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

21%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worksop Town's performance.

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bradford Park Avenue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worksop Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Worksop Town - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18).

Worksop is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bradford PA has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Worksop Town - Boston United	3:2 ✺
03.10.23	Worksop Town - Blyth Spartans	5:0 ✺
30.09.23	Blyth Spartans - Worksop Town	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
26.09.23	Worksop Town - Matlock Town	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Radcliffe - Worksop Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTWL
- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
14.10.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Hyde United	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Stafford Rangers - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0 ✺
26.09.23	Ashton United - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Workington	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
18.09.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

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