Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 42

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Blyth Spartans		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	4.75	5	1.41
	3.5	6.8	1.5
	4.25	5.9	1.5
	4.24	5.82	1.52	Watch
	4.36	5.5	1.45
	3.5	6.8	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (6.47)	5.97 ↑ (5.48)	1.48 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
22.4%

Draw
15.4%

Worksop Town
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

16.7%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

15.8%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blyth Spartans's performance.

Worksop Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Worksop Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blyth Spartans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Worksop Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blyth Spartans - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Giraud C. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Tomlinson B. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Tomlinson B. ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, Simpson Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 2 - 3, Winfield C. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Blyth is Relegated to

Worksop is Qualified for NPL Premier Division (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 1.

Blyth has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Worksop is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Worksop to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Blyth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:18 (average 1.8:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English NPL Premier Division
21.04.25	Whitby Town - Blyth Spartans	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Blyth Spartans - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Lancaster City - Blyth Spartans	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Hyde United - Blyth Spartans	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Blyth Spartans - Macclesfield Town	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
21.04.25	Worksop Town - Basford United	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Matlock Town - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Worksop Town - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Stockton Town - Worksop Town	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Worksop Town - Lancaster City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
24.08.24	Worksop Town - Blyth Spartans	5:2
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Worksop Town - Blyth Spartans	5:0
30.09.23	Blyth Spartans - Worksop Town	1:1
English NPL Premier Division
19.04.14	Worksop Town - Blyth Spartans	3:2
24.08.13	Blyth Spartans - Worksop Town	3:2
06.04.13	Blyth Spartans - Worksop Town	3:2

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