Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Workington

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.4
	1.91	3.85	3.47
	1.91	3.7	3.25
	1.9	3.54	3.42
	1.9	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)	3.66 ↑ (3.61)	3.39 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
48%

Draw
25%

Workington
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.4%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

24.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Bradford Park Avenue - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 16 and 15).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bradford Park Avenue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bradford Park Avenue will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford Park Avenue won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English FA Cup
18.09.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ET ✺
16.09.23	Blyth Spartans - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.23	United of Manchester - Bradford Park Avenue	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	Guiseley - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Ilkeston	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLTW
- Workington
English FA Cup
15.09.23	Darlington - Workington	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.23	Workington - Basford United	5:3 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.23	Workington - Prestwich Heys	6:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.08.23	Bamber Bridge - Workington	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Workington - Stafford Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.04.14	Workington - Bradford Park Avenue	0:2
12.03.14	Bradford Park Avenue - Workington	1:0
04.03.13	Bradford Park Avenue - Workington	1:0
24.11.12	Workington - Bradford Park Avenue	1:6

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