Match Info

National League North - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Chorley

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.45
	2.52	3.4	2.48
	2.58	3.64	2.49
	2.51	3.76	2.47	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.57	3.46	2.57
	2.54	3.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.75)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	2.48 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
36.4%

Draw
26.4%

Chorley
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.9%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worksop Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chorley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Worksop Town - Chorley Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Worksop (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Burrow J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, Lalkovic M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Worksop won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Worksop won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Chorley - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.54%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English National League North
29.11.25	Leamington - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Worksop Town - South Shields	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Worksop Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chorley - Worksop Town	2:3 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Oxford City - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLWL
- Chorley
English National League North
29.11.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Chorley	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Chorley - Spennymoor Town	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Chorley - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chorley - Worksop Town	2:3 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Radcliffe - Chorley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chorley - Worksop Town	2:3
English NPL Premier Division
08.03.14	Chorley - Worksop Town	1:0
26.10.13	Worksop Town - Chorley	1:3
13.04.13	Worksop Town - Chorley	1:0

Upcoming Matches