Match Info

National League North - Round 14

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Radcliffe		Chorley

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	2.80
	2.10	3.40	2.75
	2.35	3.35	2.50
	2.25	3.58	2.95
	2.24	3.62	2.89	Watch
	2.20	3.50	2.90
	2.21	3.44	2.75
	2.14	3.40	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.35)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	2.79 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
41.2%

Draw
26.3%

Chorley
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Radcliffe - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Smith H. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Taylor E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Raglan C. 🟥,
59', 0 - 3, Fielding S. ⚽,
81', 🟥,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 19th and 13th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Radcliffe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Radcliffe has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Radcliffe against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:3 goals (averaging 2.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Chorley	13	6	2	5	23:21	2	20
21	Radcliffe	14	5	0	9	16:24	-8	15

Last Results with these Odds

Radcliffe - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 37.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Chorley - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.59%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
24.10.26	Brackley Town - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Southport - Radcliffe	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Radcliffe - Scarborough Athletic	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Hednesford Town - Radcliffe	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Radcliffe - Oxford City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWLL
- Chorley
English National League North
24.10.26	Chorley - Buxton	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
20.10.26	Worcester City - Chorley	1:0 ✺
17.10.26	Chorley - Worcester City	1:1 ✺
English National League North
10.10.26	Chorley - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Barton Town Old Boys - Chorley	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.02.26	Chorley - Radcliffe	0:1
08.11.25	Radcliffe - Chorley	2:2
21.04.25	Chorley - Radcliffe	5:0
18.02.25	Radcliffe - Chorley	2:0
Club Friendly
12.09.20	Radcliffe - Chorley	3:1

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