Match Info

National League North - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Radcliffe		Chorley

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	3.7
	1.75	3.75	3.85
	1.77	3.94	4.01
	2.29	3.71	2.70	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.17
	2.2	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.29)	3.71 (3.71)	3.52 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
48.6%

Draw
25%

Chorley
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

25%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radcliffe's performance.

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chorley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radcliffe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chorley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Radcliffe - Chorley Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Radcliffe will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Radcliffe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Weaver L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Clegg R. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Hulme J. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Weaver L. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Radcliffe is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chorley has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chorley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Radcliffe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Radcliffe will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Radcliffe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Radcliffe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Radcliffe - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
25.10.25	King`s Lynn Town - Radcliffe	1:3 ✺
21.10.25	Radcliffe - Darlington	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Radcliffe - Bedford Town	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Radcliffe	1:5 ✺
04.10.25	Radcliffe - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTWW
- Chorley
English National League North
04.11.25	Chorley - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Peterborough Sports - Chorley	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Chorley - Merthyr Town	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Southport - Chorley	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Buxton - Chorley	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.04.25	Chorley - Radcliffe	5:0
18.02.25	Radcliffe - Chorley	2:0
Club Friendly
12.09.20	Radcliffe - Chorley	3:1

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