Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.6	6.25
	1.34	4.8	7
	1.3	5.37	8.46
	1.4	5	6.68
	1.3	4.9	7.95
	1.34	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.69)	4.91 ↑ (3.88)	7.22 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
68.6%

Draw
18.7%

Hebburn Town
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.4%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

23%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worksop Town's performance.

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hebburn Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worksop Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hebburn Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Worksop Town - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
6', 1 - 0, Hall L. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Hall L. (Own goal),
19', 1 - 2, Turner M. ⚽,
21', 2 - 2, Burrow J. ⚽,
29', 2 - 3, Purewal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 2 - 4, Turner M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hebburn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
12.10.24	Ashton United - Worksop Town	2:3 ✺
08.10.24	Worksop Town - Prescot Cables	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Worksop Town - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	King`s Lynn Town - Worksop Town	1:0 penalties ✺
28.09.24	Worksop Town - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLT
- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
12.10.24	Hebburn Town - Matlock Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Hebburn Town - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.10.24	Hyde United - Hebburn Town	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Hebburn Town - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW

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