Match Info

National League North - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.20	2.50
	2.45	3.20	2.45
	2.45	3.15	2.55
	2.64	3.47	2.57
	2.61	3.38	2.56	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.50
	2.60	3.33	2.60
	2.49	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.28)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	2.54 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
36.1%

Draw
27.8%

Oxford City
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

27.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.2%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Worksop Town - Oxford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Pollock S. ⚽,
66', Marsh T. 🟥,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Worksop won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Worksop won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Oxford City: 5.49% Worksop: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oxford City	10	6	2	2	18:7	11	20
18	Worksop	10	4	0	6	10:16	-6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Worksop Town - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Oxford City - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English National League North
29.08.26	Spalding United - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Worksop Town - Hereford	0:3 ✺
18.08.26	Hebburn Town - Worksop Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Worksop Town - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Darlington - Worksop Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWW
- Oxford City
English National League North
28.08.26	Oxford City - Buxton	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Spennymoor Town - Oxford City	1:4 ✺
18.08.26	Oxford City - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Spalding United - Oxford City	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Slough Town - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.02.26	Worksop Town - Oxford City	1:2
08.11.25	Oxford City - Worksop Town	2:0

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