Match Info
National League North - Round 5Date: 28 August 2026, FridayLocation: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)
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Oxford City |
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Buxton |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.40 |
3.30 |
2.50 |
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2.40 |
3.25 |
2.50 |
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2.45 |
3.40 |
2.40 |
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2.47 |
3.54 |
2.65 |
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2.66 |
3.59 |
2.41 |
 Watch |
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2.40 |
3.50 |
2.60 |
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2.51 |
3.46 |
2.62 |
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2.45 |
3.35 |
2.55 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.75) |
3.42 ↑
(3.2) |
2.53 ↑
(2.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Oxford City
37.1% | Draw
26.7% | Buxton
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+2.4%)Oxford City - Buxton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, Burton K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 2, Marsh T. ⚽,
- 81', 1 - 3, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
- 90+9', 2 - 3, Marsh T. ⚽,
Preview
Oxford City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Buxton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oxford City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 1:3).Including home matches between the teams, Oxford City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Oxford City: 5.6% Buxton: 4.86%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 11 | 20 |
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| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Oxford City - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.62%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Buxton - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 10.01.26 | Oxford City - Buxton | 2:1 | | 06.09.25 | Buxton - Oxford City | 2:1 | | 08.03.25 | Oxford City - Buxton | 0:7 | | 23.11.24 | Buxton - Oxford City | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
