Match Info

Date: 28 October 2022, Friday


	Wormatia Worms		VfR Aalen

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	1.93	3.4	3.45
	2.02	3.5	3.25
	2.02	3.58	3.52
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.03	3.58	3.36
	2.02	3.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.25)	3.45 ↑ (3.32)	3.3 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wormatia Worms
45.7%

Draw
26.6%

VfR Aalen
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.8%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wormatia Worms has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

VfR Aalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wormatia Worms than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Wormatia Worms - VfR Aalen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Wormatia Worms will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Aalen will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wormatia Worms: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

Recent matches Wormatia Worms is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aalen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wormatia Worms will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wormatia Worms
German Regionalliga Sudwest
22.10.22	Freiberg - Wormatia Worms	2:2 ✺
15.10.22	Wormatia Worms - FSV Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Wormatia Worms	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Wormatia Worms - Hoffenheim II	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Wormatia Worms	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWLL
- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
22.10.22	VfR Aalen - Eintracht Trier	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Bahlinger - VfR Aalen	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	VfR Aalen - Mainz II	0:2 ✺
30.09.22	TSV Steinbach Haiger - VfR Aalen	4:0 ✺
24.09.22	VfR Aalen - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLT

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