Match Info

National League South - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Worthing		Enfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.4	5.75
	1.39	4.65	6.3
	1.43	4.59	6.68
	1.52	3.96	6.08	Watch
	1.49	3.9	7.19
	1.55	3.95	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)	4.24 ↑ (3.9)	6.1 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
63.1%

Draw
21.8%

Enfield Town
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.8%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Enfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enfield Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Worthing - Enfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', Parcell M. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 4.

Worthing is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Enfield has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Enfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Worthing is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 58.46%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
20.08.25	Farnborough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Horsham - Worthing	3:4 ✺
09.08.25	Worthing - Bath City	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Worthing - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Hastings United - Worthing	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTWW
- Enfield Town
English National League South
19.08.25	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Enfield Town - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Torquay United - Enfield Town	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Enfield Town - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Walthamstow - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.04.25	Enfield Town - Worthing	1:5
21.12.24	Worthing - Enfield Town	1:0
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.02.22	Worthing - Enfield Town	3:0
16.10.21	Enfield Town - Worthing	2:2
17.12.19	Worthing - Enfield Town	3:2
26.01.19	Worthing - Enfield Town	0:3
13.11.18	Enfield Town - Worthing	1:4

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