Match Info

National League South - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.15
	2.98	3.35	2.2
	3	3.35	2.29
	1.11	8.78	16.18	Watch
	2.93	3.55	2.25
	2.75	3.5	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.72)	4.29 ↑ (3.53)	4.56 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
45.9%

Draw
27.9%

Worthing
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

26.1%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsham's performance.

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Worthing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Horsham - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Cook J. (Own goal),
26', 2 - 0, Luer G. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Babalola T. ⚽,
45+7', 2 - 2, Beard S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 2 - 3, Spong J. ⚽,
75', 2 - 4, Packham S. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 4, Roberts J. ⚽,

Preview

Worthing's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Worthing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Horsham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Horsham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English National League South
09.08.25	Chelmsford City - Horsham	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Horsham - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.04.25	Horsham - Hashtag United	5:1 ✺
21.04.25	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	1:3 ✺
18.04.25	Horsham - Cray Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWWW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
09.08.25	Worthing - Bath City	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Worthing - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Hastings United - Worthing	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Lewes - Worthing	2:2 ✺
22.07.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Worthing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.22	Horsham - Worthing	2:1
01.01.22	Worthing - Horsham	3:1
26.12.19	Worthing - Horsham	3:0

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