Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Worthing		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.6	2.95
	1.99	3.7	2.95
	2	3.75	2.9
	2.05	3.74	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	3.7 ↓ (3.8)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
45.1%

Draw
24.4%

Lewes
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

18.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Worthing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lewes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Worthing - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Worthing in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lewes is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lewes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Worthing will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Worthing won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.10.21	Enfield Town - Worthing	2:2 ✺
13.10.21	Kingstonian - Worthing	3:4 ✺
09.10.21	Worthing - Bishops Stortford	3:1 ✺
25.09.21	Worthing - Corinthian-Casuals	1:0 ✺
14.09.21	Leatherhead - Worthing	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWW
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.21	Lewes - Leatherhead	5:0 ✺
09.10.21	Margate - Lewes	2:6 ✺
25.09.21	Lewes - Hornchurch	1:3 ✺
18.09.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	0:4 ✺
14.09.21	Merstham - Lewes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.09.20	Lewes - Worthing	1:3
19.02.20	Lewes - Worthing	1:3
13.08.19	Worthing - Lewes	3:1
12.01.19	Worthing - Lewes	3:4
03.10.18	Lewes - Worthing	3:4
Club Friendly
25.07.17	Worthing - Lewes	1:1
12.07.16	Lewes - Worthing	3:3

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