Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Wrexham		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8
	1.33	4.75	7.5
	1.31	5	7.8
	1.29	5.83	9.78
	1.32	4.5	8
	1.3	5.5	9.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	5.14 ↑ (5.02)	8.4 ↑ (8.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
70.8%

Draw
18.1%

Weymouth
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

18.5%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.1%

16.2%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Weymouth have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Wrexham - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Wrexham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weymouth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Weymouth have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English National League
04.12.21	Dover Athletic - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
30.11.21	Wrexham - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
27.11.21	Wrexham - Bromley	2:0 ✺
23.11.21	Halifax Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
20.11.21	Wrexham - Wealdstone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWT
- Weymouth
English National League
04.12.21	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
23.11.21	Weymouth - Woking	2:3 ✺
20.11.21	Weymouth - Altrincham	1:4 ✺
13.11.21	Chesterfield - Weymouth	4:0 ✺
30.10.21	Weymouth - King`s Lynn Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.03.21	Wrexham - Weymouth	2:0
15.12.20	Weymouth - Wrexham	2:3

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