Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Weymouth		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.8
	4	3.5	1.83
	3.75	3.78	1.89
	3.86	3.73	1.86	Watch
	4	3.3	1.85
	4.12	3.54	1.8
	4	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.67)	3.52 ↓ (3.74)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Weymouth
23.6%

Draw
26.2%

Torquay United
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

24.6%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.8%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torquay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torquay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Weymouth - Torquay United Predictions

Users Predictions: Torquay United will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Jenkins-Davies W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Goodship B. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Cooke C. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Goodship B. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 0.

Weymouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torquay in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Torquay have a series of home games.

In this match Torquay is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:15 (average 1.2:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
21.12.24	Chelmsford City - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Yeovil Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
English National League South
30.11.24	Weymouth - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
26.11.24	Weymouth - Truro City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TLWLL
- Torquay United
English National League South
21.12.24	Torquay United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Torquay United - Farnborough	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Torquay United - Horsham	2:0 ✺
English National League South
30.11.24	Enfield Town - Torquay United	1:4 ✺
26.11.24	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.03.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:1
05.12.23	Torquay United - Weymouth	3:1
English National League
26.03.22	Torquay United - Weymouth	3:0
04.12.21	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:2
10.04.21	Torquay United - Weymouth	2:1
28.12.20	Weymouth - Torquay United	3:4

Upcoming Matches