The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wuhan 45.4%
Draw 29.6%
Guangzhou Evergrande 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
24.1%
15.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.5%
25.6%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wuhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuhan's form might have worsened.
Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou Evergrande's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan than the current prediction. (+19.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wuhan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.9%
26.5%
20.6%
Wuhan - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Wuhan will win (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 26.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wuhan: 36.1% – 69.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Neutral location - Jinzhou Stadium.
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).
Wuhan has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 44, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 2.
The competitors look crappy now.
Wuhan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Wuhan is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Wuhan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.