Match Info

Super League - Round 10

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Wuhan Three Towns		Qingdao Hainiu

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.65	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.48	3.15	2.78	Watch
	2.62	3.35	2.91
	2.38	3.11	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.43	3.29	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.05)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	2.88 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan Three Towns
38.7%

Draw
28.9%

Qingdao Hainiu
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuhan Three Towns's form might have worsened.

Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wuhan Three Towns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao Hainiu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wuhan Three Towns: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Wuhan Three Towns (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Wuhan Three Towns (1.73) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 4 - 80%). Qingdao Hainiu (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Guo Jiayu (G) 37. Wang Kang 2. He Guan (C) 35. Yu Tianle 15. Chen Zhechao 7. Gustavo Sauer 12. Liao Chengjian 20. Adriano Firmino 24. Jiang L. 29. Cadiz J. 9. Zheng Haoqian	28. Mu Pengfei (G) 16. Li Hailong 4. Jin Yangyang 26. Andjelkovic N. (C) 29. Li Suda 31. Luo Senwen 6. Edjouma M. 7. Yeboah Y. 8. Lin Chuangyi 34. Jin Yonghao 10. Strandberg C.
Substitutes
17. Abdugheni Halit 22. Fang Jingqi (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 6. Long Wei 23. Ming Tian 16. Min Zixi 34. Ruan Jingwei 28. Wang Denny 14. Xia Xiaoxi 27. Xia Z. 21. Xiong J. 13. Zheng Kaimu	30. Che Shiwei 43. Jappar M. (G) 21. Liu Guobao 1. Liu Jun (G) 3. Liu Junshuai 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 23. Song Long 14. Sun Zheng'ao 17. Wang Qiao 37. Wei Zixian 22. Yang Cong 47. Zheng Cuanhui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Jin Yonghao ⚽, Yeboah Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Chen Zhechao ↓, Ming Tian ↑,
46', Jiang L. ↓, Xia Xiaoxi ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Cadiz J. ⚽,
60', Wang Kang ↓, Wang Denny ↑,
60', Liao Chengjian ↓, Xiong J. ↑,
67', Xiong J. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Strandberg C. ⚽,
72', Li Suda ↓, Song Long ↑,
74', Wang Denny 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Yeboah Y. ⚽,
81', Li Hailong ↓, Wang Qiao ↑,
81', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Yang Cong ↑,
81', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Min Zixi ↑,
86', Luo Senwen ↓, Sun Zheng'ao ↑,
86', Jin Yonghao ↓, Liu Guobao ↑,
90+8', Sun Zheng'ao 🟨,
90+9', Adriano Firmino 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 3.

Wuhan Three Towns is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Qingdao Hainiu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wuhan Three Towns may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wuhan Three Towns is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Bevis K. (Injury) Yamkam M. (Red Card)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	39:46	-7	21
16	Qingdao Hainiu	26	6	3	17	34:53	-19	14

Last Results with these Odds

Qingdao Hainiu - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 27.38%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
01.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Shanghai Port - Wuhan Three Towns	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Zhejiang Professional	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWLL
- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
02.05.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Port	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	4:1 ✺
22.04.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Qingdao West Coast	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
02.11.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0
13.06.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao Hainiu	2:0
15.09.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1
05.05.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0
30.07.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0
29.04.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Wuhan Three Towns	0:3

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