Match Info

Super League - Round 9

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Tianjin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	3.75	Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.6
	1.98	3.35	3.65	Watch
	2.04	3.45	3.96
	1.95	3.6	3.65	Watch
	2	3.2	3.6
	2.01	3.26	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	3.71 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
47.1%

Draw
27.8%

Wuhan Three Towns
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun 3. Wang Zhenghao 18. Cordoba A. 4. Yang Fan 17. Wu Xinghan 30. Wang Qiuming (C) 5. Grau J. 24. Chen Zhexuan 9. Quiles A. 8. Xadas	31. Guo Jiayu (G) 37. Wang Kang 3. Yamkam M. 2. He Guan (C) 15. Chen Zhechao 7. Gustavo Sauer 12. Liao Chengjian 20. Adriano Firmino 24. Jiang L. 29. Cadiz J. 9. Zheng Haoqian
Substitutes
39. Cai Chengjun 14. Huang Jiahui 20. Ji Shengpan 27. Li S. 38. Li S. 19. Liu J. 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 40. Shi Yan 31. Sun Ming-Him 6. Wang Xianjun 11. Xie Weijun	17. Abdugheni Halit 22. Fang Jingqi (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 19. Liu Yiming 6. Long Wei 23. Ming Tian 28. Wang Denny 8. Wang Jinxian 14. Xia Xiaoxi 21. Xiong J. 35. Yu Tianle 13. Zheng Kaimu
Coaches
Yu Genwei	Mora B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Yamkam M. 🟨,
39', Jiang L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', Chen Zhexuan 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Chen Zhechao ⚽,
58', Wang Qiuming ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑,
58', Chen Zhexuan ↓, Xie Weijun ↑,
63', He Guan ↓, Liu Yiming ↑,
69', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
70', Jiang L. ↓, Ming Tian ↑,
71', Quiles A. 🟨,
71', Liu Yiming 🟨,
71', Grau J. ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
72', Wu Xinghan ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Cadiz J. ⚽,
78', Ba Dun ↓, Shi Yan ↑,
80', Yamkam M. 🟥,
81', 1 - 2, Xadas (Penalty Awarded),
84', Cadiz J. ↓, Zheng Kaimu ↑,
90+5', Guo Jiayu 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 2, Ji Shengpan ⚽, Huang Jiahui (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3.

Recent performances by Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wuhan Three Towns is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger could have a small edge in this match.

There are questionable in Wuhan Three Towns: Bevis K. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	36:32	4	25
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	39:46	-7	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
25.04.26	Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:4 ✺
21.04.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WLWTL
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
25.04.26	Shanghai Port - Wuhan Three Towns	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Zhejiang Professional	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Wuhan Three Towns	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
14.09.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns	4:0
27.04.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1
16.08.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0
26.04.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1
23.09.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:1
04.06.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Wuhan Three Towns	1:1
31.12.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	Wuhan Three Towns awarded

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