Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 12

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Wuxi Sport Center (Wuxi)


	Wuxi Wugou		Heilongjiang Ice City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.78	3.15	2.67
	2.78	3.02	2.68
	2.6	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.1	2.51	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.51)	3.09 ↑ (2.96)	2.58 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
34.8%

Draw
29.7%

Heilongjiang Ice City
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

31.4%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

31.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Heilongjiang Ice City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Wuxi Wugou - Heilongjiang Ice City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Zhang Jingyi (G) 17. Hu Shengjia 5. Lin Jiahao 23. Yang Wenji 29. Jiang Zhixin 14. Shohret R. 10. Tong Le 18. Yue Zhilei 11. Mandic S. 33. Pobulic D. 7. Guo Song	1. Lu Ning (G) 2. Zhang Yujie 4. Zhao Chengle 31. Daciel 22. Ma Yujun 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 33. Zhang Zimin 11. Montano I. 42. Liang P. 17. Yan Yu 9. Allan Paulista
Substitutes
39. Fu Hao 21. He Mingli 4. Liang Jinhu 19. Li Boxi 25. Lin F. 16. Liu Wenhao 12. Song X. 6. Tang Qirun 31. Xiao B. (G) 30. Yuan Z. 8. Zhang Yuanshu 13. Zhu Yueqi (G)	37. Abdugheni Ilaldin 15. Ablimit Subi 18. Fan Bojian 3. Li Boyang 13. Li S. (G) 28. Shao Shuai 8. Wang Jinpeng 44. Wen Jialong 19. Xu H. 24. Yang C. (G) 20. Zhang J. 16. Zhou Pinxi
Coaches
Zhang H.	Wang H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Daciel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Jiang Zhixin ↓, Song X. ↑,
60', Hu Shengjia ↓, Tang Qirun ↑,
60', Pobulic D. ↓, Zhang Yuanshu ↑,
60', Yan Yu ↓, Wen Jialong ↑,
60', Liang P. ↓, Zhang J. ↑,
74', Wen Jialong ↓, Zhou Pinxi ↑,
75', Ma Yujun ↓, Wang Jinpeng ↑,
77', Tong Le ↓, Yuan Z. ↑,
77', Shohret R. ↓, Lin F. ↑,
81', Lin F. 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Zhang J. ⚽, Montano I. (A),
90+3', Montano I. ↓, Li Boyang ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wuxi Wugou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Wuxi Wugou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
25.05.24	Liaoning Tieren - Wuxi Wugou	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Wuxi Wugou	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Wuxi Wugou - Ningbo Professional	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Foshan Nanshi - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Wuxi Wugou - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLT
- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
26.05.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Foshan Nanshi	4:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Yanbian Longding - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
22.10.23	Wuxi Wugou - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1
09.07.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Wuxi Wugou	6:2

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