Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 11

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Shenyang Urban Constr Univ-Stadium (Shenyang)

Referee: Xiangkun M. (Chn)


	Liaoning Tieren		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.75
	1.63	3.5	5	Watch
	1.56	3.55	5
	1.69	3.58	5.17
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.63	3.48	5.11	Watch
	1.65	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2)	3.49 ↑ (3.1)	5.06 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
56%

Draw
26%

Wuxi Wugou
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuxi Wugou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuxi Wugou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liaoning Tieren - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 38. Song Chen 5. Lin Longchang 24. Musa S. I. 37. Jiaming Z. 7. Shang Yin 10. Yang Jian 22. Kunimoto T. 13. Lei Yongchi 19. Gao Haisheng 8. Geoffrey C.	22. Zhang Jingyi (G) 14. Shohret R. 5. Lin Jiahao 18. Yue Zhilei 29. Jiang Zhixin 33. Pobulic D. 7. Guo Song 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 17. Hu Shengjia 11. Mandic S. 23. Yang Wenji
Substitutes
3. Chen Yangle 2. Gui Zihan 4. Han Tianlin 17. Hui Jiakang 31. Jiang Feng 1. Li Xuebo (G) 32. Mao Kaiyu 30. Qian Junhao 23. Shiming L. 36. Tian D. 16. Wang Tianci 39. Yang Yu	39. Fu Hao 21. He Mingli 4. Liang Jinhu 19. Li Boxi 25. Lin F. 16. Liu Wenhao 12. Song X. 6. Tang Qirun 10. Tong Le 30. Yuan Z. 8. Zhang Yuanshu 13. Zhu Yueqi (G)
Coaches
Sun W.	Zhang H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Musa S. I. 🟨,
7', Tursunjan Ahmat 🟨,
24', Lin Longchang 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hu Shengjia ↓, Zhang Yuanshu ↑,
54', Zhang Yuanshu 🟨,
59', Geoffrey C. 🟨,
61', Tursunjan Ahmat 🟨,
62', Pobulic D. ↓, Liang Jinhu ↑,
63', 🟨,
64', Geoffrey C. ↓, Hui Jiakang ↑,
71', Jiang Zhixin ↓, Tong Le ↑,
74', Gao Haisheng ↓, Yang Yu ↑,
86', Mandic S. ↓, Yuan Z. ↑,
90+1', Qian Junhao ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Liaoning Tieren is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Liaoning Tieren won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Liaoning Tieren won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese FA Cup
19.05.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Liaoning Tieren	3:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Liaoning Tieren - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTW
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Guangdong GZ-Power - Wuxi Wugou	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Wuxi Wugou - Ningbo Professional	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Foshan Nanshi - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Wuxi Wugou - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
15.10.23	Wuxi Wugou - Liaoning Tieren	1:1
28.06.23	Liaoning Tieren - Wuxi Wugou	1:0

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