Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 11

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Harbin International Convention and Exhibition Centre Stadium (Harbin)


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.3	4.6
	1.7	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.45
	1.71	3.43	5.35
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.66	3.42	4.97	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)	3.39 ↓ (3.57)	4.74 ↓ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
54%

Draw
26.8%

Foshan Nanshi
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.1%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

24.9%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Foshan Nanshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heilongjiang Ice City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Heilongjiang Ice City - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lu Ning (G) 2. Zhang Yujie 4. Zhao Chengle 31. Daciel 22. Ma Yujun 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 33. Zhang Zimin 11. Montano I. 42. Liang P. 17. Yan Yu 9. Allan Paulista	12. Yang Chao (G) 16. Ma Junliang 4. Zhao Mingjian 3. Zhang Xiangshuo 30. Huang Chuqi 7. Li Jiaheng 23. Wen Junjie 20. Wu Y. 18. Li Canming 24. Song Runtong 39. Li Bowen
Substitutes
37. Abdugheni Ilaldin 15. Ablimit Subi 3. Li Boyang 13. Li S. (G) 28. Shao Shuai 8. Wang Jinpeng 44. Wen Jialong 19. Xu H. 24. Yang C. (G) 20. Zhang J. 16. Zhou Pinxi	10. Aguila R. 5. Che Shiwei 21. Cui Xinglong 1. Gao Y. (G) 9. Gombe-Fei A. 25. Huang Qijia 8. Huang Y. 29. Wang Yifan (G) 33. Wu Y. 22. Ye Z. 19. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Wang H.	Torres Mestre V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Song Runtong ⚽, Li Canming (A),
11', Li Canming 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Montano I. ⚽, Allan Paulista (A),
23', 2 - 1, Daciel ⚽, Montano I. (A),
35', 2 - 2, Wu Y. ⚽, Li Bowen (A),
45+4', 3 - 2, Allan Paulista ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 3 - 3, Wu Y. ⚽, Zhao Mingjian (A),
57', 4 - 3, Zhang Zimin ⚽,
57', Li Canming ↓, Gombe-Fei A. ↑,
69', Yan Yu ↓, Wen Jialong ↑,
72', Li Jiaheng ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
84', Li Bowen 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 4, Huang Chuqi ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

Heilongjiang Ice City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Foshan Nanshi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Heilongjiang Ice City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Liaoning Tieren	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Yanbian Longding - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTL
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Taian Tiankuang - Foshan Nanshi	0:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Foshan Nanshi - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Foshan Nanshi - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL

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