Match Info

AFRICA: AFL - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Wydad Casablanca		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.95	4.75
	1.72	2.95	5.5
	1.58	3.48	6.71
	1.59	3.22	6.15	Watch
	1.81	3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.12)	3.12 ↑ (2.8)	5.66 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wydad Casablanca
54.3%

Draw
29.4%

Espérance ST
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

32.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

31%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wydad Casablanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wydad Casablanca's performance.

Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Espérance ST might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wydad Casablanca than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wydad Casablanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Espérance ST could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.2%	0%	2.8%

Wydad Casablanca - Espérance ST Predictions

Users Predictions: Wydad Casablanca will win (35 of 36 users predict this - 97.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.85% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. El Motie Y. (G) 4. Aboulfath A. 16. Harkass J. 17. Draoui Z. 14. Attiyat Allah Y. 24. Ahannach S. 5. Jabrane Y. 11. Ounajem M. 22. El Amloud A. 21. El Bahri C. 23. Boussefiane H.	12. Ben Cherifia M. (G) 30. Shili O. 13. Bouchniba R. 5. Meriah Y. 8. Teka H. 23. Ouahabi G. 15. Tougai M. 36. Ogbelu O. 18. Ghacha H. 9. Rodrigo Rodrigues 11. Bouguerra O.
Substitutes
13. Abdallah H. 26. Ait Brayem H. 40. Bah B. (G) 30. Bouhrati S. 20. Chetti I. 25. Farhane A. 19. Lahtimi M. 1. Maftah M. (G) 2. Mahrous O. 15. Regragui H. 27. Sambou B. J. 3. Serrhat A.	21. Abid M. 22. Amamou H. 2. Ben Ali M. 29. Ben Hammouda M. 25. Chaaleli G. 4. Derbali M. 28. Fellah A. 16. Ghanmi H. (G) 33. Mimouni F. 27. Sowe K. 10. Yan Sasse 19. Zaddem M.
Coaches
Ramzi A.	Thabet T.

Preview

1st leg.

Wydad Casablanca in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Espérance ST is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Wydad Casablanca is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wydad Casablanca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Wydad Casablanca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wydad Casablanca
African Football League
26.10.23	Wydad Casablanca - Enyimba	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Enyimba - Wydad Casablanca	0:1 ✺
Moroccan Botola
07.10.23	IR Tanger - Wydad Casablanca	0:3 ✺
04.10.23	Wydad Casablanca - Renaissance Zemamra	3:1 ✺
24.09.23	Berkane - Wydad Casablanca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWT
- Espérance ST
African Football League
26.10.23	Espérance ST - TP Mazembe	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	TP Mazembe - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
07.10.23	Espérance ST - Monastir	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.09.23	Espérance ST - AS Douanes	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.09.23	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
31.05.19	Espérance ST - Wydad Casablanca	1:0
24.05.19	Wydad Casablanca - Espérance ST	1:1

Wydad Casablanca - Espérance ST: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide