The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
XV de Jaú 65.7%
Draw 22.7%
Joseense 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
24.2%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.8%
23.3%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joseense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).