Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Xerez CD		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2	2.78	4.05
	2.34	2.63	3.58
	2.02	2.85	4.49
	2	2.71	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.06)	2.74 ↓ (2.92)	4.16 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
44.1%

Draw
33.6%

Xerez Deportivo
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

31.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

33.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Xerez CD have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Adri ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 0.

In recent matches, Xerez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Xerez Deportivo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Xerez could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Xerez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Xerez CD	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	CD Extremadura - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Xerez CD - Atlético Malagueño	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Xerez CD - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez CD	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWW
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.12.25	Xerez Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Xerez Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.04.25	Xerez Deportivo - Xerez CD	2:1
15.12.24	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.04.24	Xerez Deportivo - Xerez CD	1:1
19.11.23	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	1:2
08.03.20	Xerez Deportivo - Xerez CD	2:0
27.10.19	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	0:2
13.04.19	Xerez Deportivo - Xerez CD	0:0

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