Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 34

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday


	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard		Beijing Institute of Technology

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	1.95	3.55	3.15
	2.23	3.15	3.14
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.09	3.64	3.04
	2.15	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)	3.41 ↑ (3.37)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard
43.2%

Draw
26.7%

Beijing Institute of Technology
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Beijing Institute of Technology has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Institute of Technology than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Beijing Institute of Technology Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Xinjiang will win (votes: 9 - 75%). BIT FC will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Xinjiang: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard is Relegated to Yi League

BIT FC is Relegated to Yi League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 1.

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

BIT FC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard FC
Chinese Jia League
04.12.22	Qingdao West Coast - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:1 ✺
28.11.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Qingdao Hainiu	1:7 ✺
24.11.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	5:2 ✺
20.11.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Liaoning Tieren	0:3 ✺
12.11.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Beijing Institute of Technology FC
Chinese Jia League
03.12.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Beijing Institute of Technology	0:0 ✺
29.11.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Qingdao West Coast	1:3 ✺
25.11.22	Liaoning Tieren - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:0 ✺
21.11.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Qingdao Hainiu	0:2 ✺
12.11.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
12.11.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:1
16.12.21	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:3
29.11.21	Beijing Institute of Technology - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:2
25.07.15	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Beijing Institute of Technology	3:1
11.04.15	Beijing Institute of Technology - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:2
11.10.14	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Beijing Institute of Technology	5:2
01.06.14	Beijing Institute of Technology - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	3:1

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