Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.8	1.3
	6.75	3.8	1.45
	9.06	5.02	1.34
	9	4.5	1.29
	8.2	5.1	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.15 ↑ (2.64)	4.64 ↑ (3.44)	1.34 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard
11.3%

Draw
19.8%

Liaoning Tieren
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard's form might have worsened.

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard than the current prediction. (+23.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-30.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	5.9%	70.6%

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Xinjiang will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liaoning Tieren: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard FC
Chinese Jia League
12.11.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:1 ✺
08.11.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Qingdao West Coast	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	5:1 ✺
01.11.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Liaoning Tieren - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWLWT
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
13.11.22	Qingdao West Coast - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
09.11.22	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:3 ✺
04.11.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
31.10.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Liaoning Tieren	1:2 ✺
28.10.22	Liaoning Tieren - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
28.10.22	Liaoning Tieren - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:2
17.08.21	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Liaoning Tieren	0:0
28.07.21	Liaoning Tieren - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	1:0
08.11.20	Liaoning Tieren - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:2

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