Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 32

Date: 28 November 2022, Monday


	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard		Qingdao Hainiu

	1	X	2
	8.25	5.25	1.25
	12	7	1.14
	11.89	6.36	1.16
	9	5.65	1.26
	11	5.5	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.43 ↑ (7.3)	5.95 ↑ (5)	1.21 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard
8.8%

Draw
15.4%

Qingdao Hainiu
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

18.7%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

18.2%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao Hainiu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Qingdao Hainiu Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Xinjiang will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Xinjiang: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 0.

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qingdao Hainiu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Qingdao Hainiu is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard FC
Chinese Jia League
24.11.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	5:2 ✺
20.11.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Liaoning Tieren	0:3 ✺
12.11.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:1 ✺
08.11.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Qingdao West Coast	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWL
- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Jia League
24.11.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
21.11.22	Beijing Institute of Technology - Qingdao Hainiu	0:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.11.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.11.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	3:0 ✺
09.11.22	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Hainiu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
05.11.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	5:1
20.07.19	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Qingdao Hainiu	2:5
30.03.19	Qingdao Hainiu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	0:0
19.09.18	Qingdao Hainiu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	4:1
05.05.18	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Qingdao Hainiu	0:0
15.07.17	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Qingdao Hainiu	3:4
01.04.17	Qingdao Hainiu - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	1:0

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