Match Info

Super League - Round 18

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Xorazm Stadium (Urgench)

Referee: Abduvohidov R. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Xorazm Urganch		Lokomotiv Tashkent

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.50
	2.52	3.15	2.45
	2.48	3.55	2.77
	3.14	3.33	2.14	Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.65
	2.42	3.40	2.68
	2.55	3.25	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.88)	3.33 ↑ (3.29)	2.53 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xorazm Urganch
35.9%

Draw
27.6%

Lokomotiv Tashkent
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.6%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xorazm Urganch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Lokomotiv Tashkent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Tashkent than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Xorazm Urganch - Lokomotiv Tashkent Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Tashkent will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Tashkent: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Ergashev U. (G) 15. Pirmukhamedov A. 2. Ortiqboyev D. 25. Rom M. 22. Khamidzhonov S. 96. Rafael Sabino 34. Izzatov S. 9. Azimov S. 13. Lohan 71. Sultonov U. 90. Khoshimov U.	12. Shevchenko N. (G) 22. Poyonov S. 26. Yuldashev A. 18. Kucherenko O. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 14. Ivanov N. 45. Nisic J. 70. Reimov M. 7. Abrayev Q. 10. Shodiboev S. 61. Ibraimov N.
Substitutes
8. Abdikholikov N. 88. Khusinov A. 6. Muzaffarov N. 30. Olimov O. 12. Shiryaev M. 33. Stosic N. (G) 3. Sultonov R. 21. Tavaresh R. 20. Yejov D.	30. Bakhodirov J. 16. Baklanov D. (G) 21. Elichich I. 17. Mirzaev S. 9. Nurulloev S. 8. Tupliev B. 27. Uktamov O. 99. Yakhshiboev J. 33. Zoteev O.
Coaches
Tokov S.	Jelicic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Abrayev Q. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Khamidzhonov S. ⚽, Azimov S. (A),
19', Shodiboev S. 🟨,
31', Nisic J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Abrayev Q. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
46', Sultonov U. ↓, Tavaresh R. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Nurulloev S. ⚽,
57', Rafael Sabino ↓, Abdikholikov N. ↑,
61', Ibraimov N. 🟨,
70', Reimov M. ↓, Yakhshiboev J. ↑,
70', Ibraimov N. ↓, Tupliev B. ↑,
76', Rom M. 🟨,
77', 1 - 3, Yakhshiboev J. ⚽,
79', Izzatov S. ↓, Muzaffarov N. ↑,
80', Azimov S. ↓, Yejov D. ↑,
85', Lohan ↓, Olimov O. ↑,
87', Ivanov N. 🟨,
90', Ivanov N. ↓, Uktamov O. ↑,
90+1', Shodiboev S. ↓, Elichich I. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lokomotiv Tashkent might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xorazm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lok. Tashkent	22	10	5	7	36:28	8	35
14	Xorazm Urganch	23	5	7	11	20:34	-14	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League
14.08.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch	2:2 ✺
07.08.26	Xorazm Urganch - Mashal Mubarek	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Navbahor Namangan - Xorazm Urganch	5:1 ✺
28.07.26	Xorazm Urganch - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Pakhtakor - Xorazm Urganch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWL
- Lokomotiv Tashkent
Uzbek League
15.08.26	Kokand 1912 - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Dinamo Samarqand	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Buxoro - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Sogdiana Jizzakh	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Andijan	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
07.04.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Xorazm Urganch	1:1

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