Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji)


	Yanbian Longding		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	2.78	2.82	Watch
	2.54	2.85	3.08
	2.62	2.68	3.18	Watch
	2.5	2.6	2.9
	2.48	2.72	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.99)	2.73 ↑ (2.57)	3 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
36.1%

Draw
33.5%

Guangxi Hengchen
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

36.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

37.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kou Jiahao (G) 20. Jin Taiyan 4. Nunez V. 15. Xu Jizu 19. Duan Dezhi 14. Cui Taixu 17. Piao Shihao (C) 5. Domingos J. 37. Giovanny 30. Huang Zhenfei 18. Sun Xipeng	41. Liang Kun (G) 32. Li S. 3. Yuan X. (C) 5. Luan H. 27. Zhang Zijian 23. Khedrup Lobsang 24. Ji X. 44. Liang Yibin 10. Ardazishvili R. 11. Lapoussin L. 36. Mbo N.
Substitutes
2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 33. Hu Ziqian 40. Jin Xingdao 22. Li Diantong 7. Li Shibin 6. Li Ximin 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 23. Wang Zihao 16. Xu Wenguang 29. Yang Erhai 9. Zong Xuanyu	28. Ablimit Subi 7. Chen D. 6. Chen G. 21. Dai Ming 42. Ji Tianle 2. Lu Jiaqiang 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 22. Shen Bokai (G) 12. Yao-hsing Yu
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Giovanny ⚽, Huang Zhenfei (A),
14', Cui Taixu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cui Taixu ↓, Zong Xuanyu ↑,
46', Sun Xipeng ↓, Xu Wenguang ↑,
62', Ji X. 🟨,
71', Liang Yibin ↓, Lu Junhui ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Lapoussin L. ⚽, Khedrup Lobsang (A),
76', Xu Wenguang ↓, Li Ximin ↑,
77', Zong Xuanyu ↓, Jin Xingdao ↑,
83', Ji X. ↓, Dai Ming ↑,
84', Khedrup Lobsang ↓, Ablimit Subi ↑,
85', Zhang Zijian 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34:28	6	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
02.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Yanbian Longding - Shaanxi Union	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Yanbian Longding - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Dalian Kun City - Yanbian Longding	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Yanbian Longding	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTWL
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
02.05.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangxi Hengchen	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Meizhou Hakka - Guangxi Hengchen	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLW

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