Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday


	Yangju Citizen		Cheongju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.65	3	2.5
	2.73	3.01	2.79
	2.58	3.08	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.22)	2.98 ↓ (3.13)	2.64 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangju Citizen
34.9%

Draw
30.6%

Cheongju
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.3%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yangju Citizen's form might have worsened.

Cheongju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cheongju's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yangju Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheongju than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheongju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	38.5%	30.8%

Yangju Citizen - Cheongju Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Yangju Citizen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Cheongju will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13).

Yangju Citizen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cheongju is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cheongju could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Yangju Citizen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Yangju Citizen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
21.08.22	Yangju Citizen - Paju Frontier	3:4 ✺
14.08.22	Gangneung - Yangju Citizen	2:1 ✺
16.07.22	Yangju Citizen - Pocheon	2:3 ✺
10.07.22	Yangju Citizen - Dangjin Citizen	2:0 ✺
01.07.22	Daejeon Korail - Yangju Citizen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL
- Cheongju FC
South Korean K3 League
20.08.22	Cheongju - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
17.08.22	Cheongju - Cheonan City	0:1 ✺
14.08.22	Ulsan Citizen - Cheongju	0:1 ✺
17.07.22	Dangjin Citizen - Cheongju	3:3 ✺
09.07.22	Cheongju - Daejeon Korail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
30.04.22	Cheongju - Yangju Citizen	1:0
25.09.21	Cheongju - Yangju Citizen	2:0
22.05.21	Yangju Citizen - Cheongju	0:6
11.07.20	Yangju Citizen - Cheongju	0:2

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