Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Yangju Citizen		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.8
	3.6	3.5	1.8
	4.32	3.38	1.88
	4	3	1.83
	4.15	3.34	1.83	Watch
	3.8	3.25	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.89)	3.28 ↑ (3.07)	1.84 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangju Citizen
23%

Draw
27.7%

Paju Frontier
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.7%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.1%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yangju Citizen's form might have worsened.

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paju Frontier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yangju Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paju Frontier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yangju Citizen - Paju Frontier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 3).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Paju Citizen is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yangju Citizen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Yangju Citizen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
03.06.23	Daejeon Korail - Yangju Citizen	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Yangju Citizen - Chuncheon	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Yangju Citizen - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Yangju Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1 ✺
05.05.23	Changwon City - Yangju Citizen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LTWLW
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
28.05.23	Paju Frontier - Yangpyeong	4:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
24.05.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Paju Frontier	5:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
20.05.23	Paju Frontier - Daejeon Korail	1:0 ✺
17.05.23	Paju Frontier - Chuncheon	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Gangneung - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
21.08.22	Yangju Citizen - Paju Frontier	3:4
23.04.22	Paju Frontier - Yangju Citizen	0:1
25.07.21	Yangju Citizen - Paju Frontier	1:1
04.04.21	Paju Frontier - Yangju Citizen	0:3
South Korean Cup
09.05.20	Paju Frontier - Yangju Citizen	3:0 ET

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