Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday


	Yangju Citizen		Siheung

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	3.21	3.19	2.31
	3.02	3.22	2.25
	3	3.25	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.38)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.22 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangju Citizen
30.4%

Draw
28.4%

Siheung
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

28.8%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yangju Citizen's form might have worsened.

Siheung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siheung's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yangju Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siheung than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siheung, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Yangju Citizen - Siheung Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Yangju Citizen will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Siheung will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 6).

Recent matches Yangju Citizen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Siheung Citizen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yangju Citizen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Siheung Citizen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Yangju Citizen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Yangju Citizen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
08.07.23	Yangju Citizen - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Mokpo City - Yangju Citizen	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Yangpyeong - Yangju Citizen	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Yangju Citizen - Paju Frontier	3:2 ✺
03.06.23	Daejeon Korail - Yangju Citizen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWL
- FC Siheung
South Korean K3 League
01.07.23	Siheung - Paju Frontier	4:2 ✺
24.06.23	Daejeon Korail - Siheung	1:1 ✺
18.06.23	Chuncheon - Siheung	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Gangneung - Siheung	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Siheung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
02.04.23	Siheung - Yangju Citizen	3:2
18.06.22	Yangju Citizen - Siheung	1:0
06.03.22	Siheung - Yangju Citizen	2:1

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