Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday


	Yangju Citizen		Gimhae

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.8	3.1	1.9
	3.95	3.15	2.02
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	3.76	3.22	1.96	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.82)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.02 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangju Citizen
26%

Draw
28.9%

Gimhae
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yangju Citizen's form might have worsened.

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimhae's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yangju Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimhae, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yangju Citizen - Gimhae Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4).

Recent matches Yangju Citizen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimhae is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimhae could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gimhae will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yangju Citizen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Yangju Citizen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
02.07.23	Mokpo City - Yangju Citizen	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Yangpyeong - Yangju Citizen	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Yangju Citizen - Paju Frontier	3:2 ✺
03.06.23	Daejeon Korail - Yangju Citizen	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Yangju Citizen - Chuncheon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLT
- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
24.06.23	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:2 ✺
17.06.23	Daejeon Korail - Gimhae	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Gimhae - Chuncheon	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Gimhae - Gangneung	3:2 ✺
27.05.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Gimhae	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
25.03.23	Gimhae - Yangju Citizen	1:0
25.09.22	Gimhae - Yangju Citizen	1:1
22.05.22	Yangju Citizen - Gimhae	1:0
30.10.21	Gimhae - Yangju Citizen	3:0
09.06.21	Yangju Citizen - Gimhae	1:2

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