The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yaracuyanos 60.2%
Draw 22.8%
Atlético Barinas 17%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.2%
24.5%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
23.2%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Yaracuyanos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Atlético Barinas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Barinas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 🟥,
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Yaracuyanos has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Atlético Barinas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Yaracuyanos could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Yaracuyanos carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Yaracuyanos has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yaracuyanos against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.