The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yaracuyanos 41.5%
Draw 27.7%
Barquisimeto 30.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.9%
26.4%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
25.1%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaracuyanos's form might have worsened.
Barquisimeto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquisimeto than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barquisimeto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yaracuyanos - Barquisimeto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Parra Y. ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, Montero L. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yaracuyanos won 3.
Yaracuyanos is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Barquisimeto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Yaracuyanos is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Yaracuyanos has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:8 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yaracuyanos against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1.5:0.8 per game).
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