The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ureña 41.7%
Draw 27.9%
Yaracuyanos 30.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.8%
26.7%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
27.6%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ureña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ureña than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
67', 1 - 3, ⚽,
75', 1 - 4, ⚽,
87', 1 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ureña won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Ureña (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Yaracuyanos shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ureña may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Ureña has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:13 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ureña against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
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